Book Kenichi omae, “the World without borders” was published in 1990, a year after the fall of the Berlin wall. He became one of the classic texts in the era of globalization. But the border is now back with a vengeance, caused by a coronavirus.
When the pandemic will take place, the barriers to travel are removed. But it is unlikely there will be a full restore, which was before Covid-19.
The national government is returned, aided by this extraordinary crisis.
For this there are three main reasons:
– First of all, the pandemic shows that during an emergency people prefer global institutions of the national state, which has the financial, organizational and emotional challenges.
– Secondly, the disease reveals the fragility of the global logistics. Hard to believe that the “big players” will continue to tolerate a situation in which they have to import most of its vital medical supplies.
Finally, the pandemic intensifies political trends that were already strong before the crisis. In particular, the demand for increased protectionism, localization of production and tighter border controls.
At the moment, a temporary tightening of border controls makes sense. And if this return to the nation-state remains, within certain limits, is not necessarily a bad thing. It will just be a kind of political course correction that is present in democratic States, in response to events and changing public sentiment.
But the danger is that this “revival” will lead to the uncontrolled nationalism, and downturns in world trade and a partial rejection of international cooperation.
Worst case scenario: the collapse of the EU and the rupture of relations between the US and China that could lead to war.
A return to the nation state has been particularly striking in Europe. When German Chancellor Angela Merkel launched an emergency appeal to the nation, she never mentioned the EU.
Border controls between France and Germany was suddenly restored. Financial assistance for businesses and the unemployed mostly comes directly from the European countries and not from EU. Prominent politicians in Poland, Italy and Spain, criticized the EU for failing to fulfill his promise of solidarity. In this regard, the pressure on the European solidarity increases.
Any careless decision can lead, in particular, to global collapse and major change. Time will tell…
Translation of telegram channel Klymenko Time
From the editors: This topic is also partially revealed in the article “Coronavirus and the new middle Ages”.