After a very warm winter and a cool spring in Ukraine is waiting for a really hot summer. Such long-term weather forecast national weather forecaster has nasolabial Leonid Gorban.
In an interview with OBOZREVATEL he said, why, despite what the meteorologist, accurate forecasting can be done for a period of not 10 but 100 or more days. The following direct speech.
Long term forecast: it’s all in the manuscripts
It’s genetic knowledge that is transmitted in our family from my great-great-grandfather. In the Church in village Keleberda in Poltava region was once kept the books of his campaigns brought the Cossacks of the Zaporozhian Sich. They talked about the series of numbers of the Solar system.
During the occupation during the Second world war, these manuscripts were seized by the Nazis and taken to Germany, but their content in the village passed from memory. Me 6 years, it was taught by two of the priest and the grandfather.
I wonder what these books formed the basis of the “Brusov’s calendar” for 100 years, compiled by scientists of the eighteenth century James Bruce. He used the number series for long-term forecasting.
The calculations are based not only on astronomical, but also on astrological variables. They also take into account the location of the old churches, which, as you know, was built a special energy field.
Why spring was so cold?
There is a difficult situation. It’s all in the sun. Currently, the 11-year cycle it is at the lowest level of activity. Such a low level has not been around 110 years. The sun no spots, and they, their number and size talking about the activity lights.
This means that long-term calculations that were made earlier are incorrect, they need to be redone. And I made a new calculation with this in mind.
In June expected the heat to 34 degrees
Because in June the sun rises higher above the horizon, the effect of low solar activity will diminish. This heat will be enough to be able to talk about hot summer.
The first 5 days of June will still be cool enough – the air warms up to 17-19 degrees. But then the temperature will sharply go up. Since 8 and June 20, the day will be at the level of 26-28 degrees, and from 21 June to the end of the month is even higher: about 31-34 degrees.
However, and rains are forecasted. Precipitation is possible until 7 June, then in the period from 10 to 13 and from 17 to 19 and from 29 to 30.
July will be summer-hot, but not sultry
July maximum indicators will give in June. From 5 to 11 July, the temperature reaches 27 to 32 degrees.
Then for 4 days – from 12 to 15 – will be a slight decrease in temperature. But in the period from 16 to 23 July will be back summer heat of 28-30 degrees. The rest of the month daytime temperatures will be kept at 24-26 degrees.
As for precipitation, July is quite dry. Rains will be from 2 to 4 July, then a big break, followed by intense heat, which ends July 20. The rains are expected 20-21, 25-26 and 29-30 July.
In August there will be heat up to +33 and drought
Most of August will stand the real summer heat. By my calculation, from 7 to 18 August, the temperature will be about 30-33 degrees. Then there will be a sharp temperature drop. For August 24-25, just up to 20-22 degrees.
The rains are frequent, though, but very scarce. For the month will fall no more than 15-22 mm is almost nothing.
Precipitation is expected during the period 2 to 6 August, then 18-19 and 24-25.
Concerning the forecast for the fall, here we have to wait and see what will show the sun. A lot will depend on how it’s going to go from a period of low activity.